Validation

Benchmark your solar forecasts.

Solar forecast performance changes with location, season, plant behaviour, aggregation, lead time and operational events. GraphSight uses a documented evaluation method and avoids universal accuracy claims that remove this context.

Proof model

How GraphSight builds evidence.

  1. 01

    Product facts

    Resolution, horizons, scale, coverage and delivery specifications.

  2. 02

    Methodology

    Definitions, issue-time alignment, metrics, quality control and exclusions.

  3. 03

    Event studies

    Qualitative comparisons during curtailment, snow, ramps or changing cloud.

  4. 04

    Public zonal comparison

    GraphSight, actual generation and a public TSO reference.

  5. 05

    Private customer benchmark

    Asset and portfolio evaluation on customer-provided data.

Benchmark methodology

Agree the rules before looking at the result.

A credible comparison fixes the forecast issue time, target horizon, actual source and quality rules before calculating the score.

01Evaluation objective
02Asset, portfolio or zone definition
03Installed and available capacity
04Evaluation period
05Forecast issue time and delivery latency
06Target horizon or lead-time buckets
07Temporal resolution
08Actual-production source
09Reference forecast source
10Missing-data and bad-data rules
11Operational-event treatment
12Chosen metrics
13Statistical aggregation
14Exclusions and known limitations

Event studies

Look closely at the days that expose the model.

Aggregate scores can hide operating conditions that matter most. Event studies show how forecast vintages respond during curtailment, snow, ramps and fast-changing weather.

  1. What happened and why was it difficult?
  2. What was known at each issue time?
  3. How did potential and operations-aware forecasts differ?
  4. What limitation remains?
Curtailment response

Potential and delivered generation

An operations-aware forecast follows actual production through a curtailment interval while the unconstrained forecast remains higher.Curtailment intervalUnconstrained forecastOperations-aware forecastActual

A known curtailment event changes expected operational output while weather-driven solar potential remains high.

Put GraphSight beside the forecast you use today.

Tell us the assets, portfolio or zone you need to forecast. We will review the available data and propose a fair evaluation scope.